Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.001020 0.001164 0.001311 0.001469 0.001635 0.001804 0.001988
2025-06-15 0.000847 0.001058 0.001279 0.001525 0.001790 0.002064 0.002369
2025-06-22 0.000654 0.000906 0.001180 0.001495 0.001842 0.002208 0.002621
2025-06-29 0.000523 0.000807 0.001128 0.001506 0.001931 0.002387 0.002908
2025-07-06 0.000468 0.000788 0.001160 0.001607 0.002117 0.002669 0.003304
2025-07-13 0.000356 0.000686 0.001087 0.001582 0.002156 0.002786 0.003517
2025-07-20 0.000248 0.000574 0.000993 0.001524 0.002152 0.002851 0.003669
2025-07-27 0.000200 0.000536 0.000984 0.001564 0.002259 0.003036 0.003953
2025-08-03 0.000141 0.000471 0.000935 0.001551 0.002299 0.003145 0.004149
2025-08-10 0.000074 0.000374 0.000835 0.001469 0.002254 0.003153 0.004227
2025-08-17 0.000037 0.000313 0.000777 0.001436 0.002264 0.003221 0.004372
2025-08-24 0.000008 0.000240 0.000694 0.001364 0.002222 0.003226 0.004442
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000184 0.000640 0.001346 0.002268 0.003358 0.004689
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000161 0.000639 0.001399 0.002405 0.003601 0.005068
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000112 0.000580 0.001369 0.002437 0.003720 0.005305
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000082 0.000551 0.001380 0.002519 0.003899 0.005612
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000081 0.000582 0.001477 0.002713 0.004213 0.006077
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000049 0.000533 0.001453 0.002747 0.004333 0.006314
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000020 0.000467 0.001397 0.002737 0.004397 0.006483
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000013 0.000462 0.001436 0.002851 0.004612 0.006830
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000003 0.000428 0.001423 0.002894 0.004738 0.007072
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000358 0.001344 0.002845 0.004748 0.007171
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000318 0.001312 0.002857 0.004832 0.007360